In a close race, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris is leading slightly over former President Donald Trump, with a 46% to 43% advantage, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll. This shows that the election is still very tight with just two weeks left before the November 5 election.
The poll, which took place over six days and ended on Monday, shows only a small change from the previous week's poll, where Harris had a 45% to 42% lead. Both results are within the poll's margin of error, meaning the race could still go either way.
Voter Concerns: Economy and Immigration
Many voters are unhappy with the current state of the country, especially when it comes to the economy and immigration. About 70% of people said the cost of living is going in the wrong direction, 60% said the economy is getting worse, and 65% feel the same about immigration policies.
When asked who they think handles these issues better, Trump led Harris, especially on the economy (46% to 38%) and immigration (48% to 35%). Immigration was also named the top issue voters want the next president to focus on during their first 100 days in office.
However, Harris was favored on important issues like handling political extremism and protecting democracy, with 42% of voters saying she’s better for those challenges compared to Trump’s 35%. She also led on policies about healthcare and abortion.
A Very Close Race
Even though Harris is leading in the national polls, this might not guarantee a win. The winner of the election is decided by the Electoral College, where certain key states hold a lot of power. Back in 2016, Trump won against Hillary Clinton by winning the right states, even though Clinton had more overall votes across the country.
Polls show Harris and Trump are in a tight race in those important states, making it hard to predict who will win.
Voter Excitement
One good sign for both parties is that more voters, especially Democrats, seem excited about voting this year. About 79% of people said they are absolutely sure they will vote in the election, which is higher than in the 2020 election.
Harris joined the race after President Joe Biden ended his reelection campaign following a tough debate with Trump. Trump, who was seen as strong on the economy, especially after high inflation under Biden, was seen as a strong contender at the time.
The poll results suggest that the efforts of both Harris and Trump to get their supporters to actually cast their ballots could decide who wins this incredibly close race.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online with 4,129 U.S. adults, including 3,481 registered voters, and had a margin of error of 2 percentage points.
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